I think we can all agree that
Technology is going to change the face of most industries in the next decade; so this time we will look at something of concern to Pharma today and tomorrow
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- Who is going to pay for the drugs?
- What do they want in return?
- What will they do with this power?
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Ultimately there are only 2 payers; the consumer and the government.
- Consumers via insurance, taxes or direct payments (e.g OTC)
- Government via healthcare benefits
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Of course, the consumers are in reality only able to influence the industry through their purchasing habits; so this is mainly concerned with OTC’s.
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However, as technology gives consumers access to more data (side effects, efficacy, clinical studies, patient comments, expert analysis…), they will increasingly request or at least influence, the Rx drugs they receive too.
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The government is able to issue unilateral changes; one’s that can alter the fundamental constructs of the industry, simply with a swipe of a constitutional pen.
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This is especially worrying for the generic industry; who’s has the voice of a mouse compared to the roar of Big Pharma when it comes to affecting government policy decisions. This is a topic for another day.
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Despite paying taxes into a health system, the consumer has relatively little influence over how the government uses it. If they don’t agree, they vote in someone else who they hope might make better use of it. Healthcare is of course a key agenda item, as Mr Obama has found; giving free healthcare to those who need it isn’t as straightforward as one might hope.
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Insurance companies. Now these guys have some serious power!
They take the patient money and spend it for them or at least tell the consumer how they are allowed to spend it. They hold massive purse strings.
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In Germany they even hold tenders, making pharma companies bid to supply them at the lowest price. Helping the insurance companies make fat profits, which they pass onto the consumer as savings…. hmmmm.
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So how will it be in the future, 10 years from now?
There are clear trends that need to be considered:
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1) Patients demand access to medicine and want to know what is best for them
2) Governments need to reduce their healthcare bills
3) Insurance companies want to make bigger profits
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With aging global populations and expensive gene therapies; will any government be able to sustain a ‘free’ healthcare system?
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Will countries set up agreements for offshore healthcare or approved internet GP’s who write scrips in whatever country they reside?
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Will insurance companies merge with drug distributors to drive efficiencies,
supply chain security and reduce fraud? Oh yeah, increase profits too!
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Could we see multinational insurance companies undertake international tenders?
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Will manufacturers have to join together and form virtual distribution to meet global supply conditions?
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Will big pharma offer broader insurance schemes to help patients pay for new drugs and block out new generics?
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Will consumers pick the generic manufacturer they see best fits them? Will generic companies needs green credentials, ethical policies and community schemes?
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Will medical tourism & postal prescriptions effect where generics are bought?
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Will you be ready?
What is in your strategy to stay ahead of the curve?
Next time… the Power of Distributors